Field Notes · 3 Jul 2026
Reading week-1 retention without lying to yourself
Cohort windows, holiday confounders, and the quiet ways product-led teams flatter their own curves.
Week-1 retention is the most argued chart in our KL studio. Marketing wants a wider window; product wants a narrower one that flatters a recent release; data wants statistical hygiene nobody has time for.
Start with three rules:
- Pick one return event that matches habit, not any session.
- Hold the window fixed for a quarter before comparing releases.
- Annotate confounders — festive holidays in Malaysia, school calendars, or a viral spike that will never repeat.
We often find “improved retention” that is really a mix of bot cleanup and a dead feature removed from the denominator. A Retention Readout Session exists to force that honesty in one afternoon instead of three Slack threads.